the daily chartist

Bitcoin searches for new highs

published 2 years ago
Bitcoin Daily

 The price has managed to bounce back again from the demand zone between 6206 and 6000 and Bitcoin continues to show resilience against the Bears which are struggling hard to push the price even further down. The level of 6000 has turned itself into a psychological barrier, which has kept the price in a tight range, though still within the overall downtrend. This support zone has led for the price to start making a new leg up towards the upper trend line around 6930. For me, the price will attempt a push towards 7000 or at least towards 6900 and will turn again South as renewed pressure from the Bears will subdue the price again with downtrend movement towards the demand zone one more time. Have in mind CCI and StOCH are reaching their overbought levels as well, so be on the watch out for these. Longs are still good enough to catch an impulse up for a fast short-term profit, but always use a stop loss for any sudden sentiment shifts and the volatility to "kill you". 

Making a decision

published 2 years ago

 Making decisions in your life is the basis for moving forward, showing character, building relationships and growing as an individual in your professional and personal life. The right ones will show if you are on track, moving sideways, or drifting away towards something negative. The outcome of our decisions determines if we did right or wrong. Sounds like a 50 - 50 luck probability if you are in a casino. In some situations, we truly "make a bet" for certain outcomes for our benefit. Choosing your career path is 50 - 50 for you to succeed in the career path or fail and shift to a different area. Also for some, choosing this kind of living isn't suitable, isn't enough and it doesn't define them as individuals and they drift from the system. This moment occurs when they discover their inner talent in freelance areas, creating something on their own in arts, crafting, web design, programming and consulting. But recently after lifting the big limitations and restrictions for the "common folk" and the advancement of technology, brokerage business and influencing marketing campaigns, trading, has become something very common now, popular and very affordable for everyone as having as much $25 and an internet connection. Thus the "retail trader" was born. Or in other words - anyone who saved some kind of (losable) amount of money and to trade from their homes through a broker, on a margin and with some sort of a trading platform that can provide fundamental data - news, and technical data - charts and to accomplish chart studies. And of course the demo account, where everything is the same, except the money - not real.

 So you hear of this thing called "trading" and you are curious. Is it a casino? Pure gamble? Or something more complex, alive even, that requires much knowledge, experience, discipline and foresight. Is it a casino? Yeah, in the end, you have 50/50 ratio that your trade is going to succeed, even though you've spent 2 hours analysing the EUR/UD pair and making a prediction (individual one) based on fundamental and technical analysis, you can't take everything in to account, you will miss out on risk factors, you will be stunned, shocked, surprised, even devasted on the outcomes. But you've already made a decision - buy, sell it, hold it. Whatever it is. Complex, even alive system? Sometimes when you watch the charts on the most volatile and liquidate instruments you wonder how is this happening so fast as it is happening from its own as an organism. You just can't comprehend how fast orders are executed from all over the world in trillions of USD. What the chart ticks are every market participant's decision and their sentiment, which was shaped by their analysis to go long or short. Some will win, others will lose. The interesting thing is that even if the market goes in the opposite of your direction, in the end, it might actually go in your favour. And you know what quality is that? Discipline. Not to overdo it in the margin exposure and with appropriate stop loss (ALWAYS USE STOP LOSS). Also, discipline lets you stay cool, trade under pressure or wait for a certain trade to reverse. Sometimes closing a losing trade prematurely leads to the fact that the market has reversed, started to move in your direction and actually reach your predicted take profit as well. Knowledge is important and can give you a strong advantage over others. Knowing about news, statistics, fundamental data can actually prevent you from taking a trade, where others may be fooled by the market and when it goes choppy or reverse to be "killed", but you will remain alive. This was achieved by your knowledge and your discipline not to make rushed decisions and to jump in straight away with 1 lot on your $250 account with margin 1:500. 

 So trading isn't actually that much of a gamble isn't it? If you can control yourself, money and risk manage your account and be wary. When you trade you need to be in the zone. Fully focused. Today you may not make a trade, but you have another day in front of you. And you need to constantly keep that tempo and overcome the losing trades and keep a positive ration on the account so that you can be happy from the numbers. This will strongly affect your psychology and will test you between greed and fear and will determine if you are going to succeed long-term, or you will give up and leave it, blaming the Casino for your inability to control yourself. 

 As with everything in life, the outcomes depend on your decisions you make. So it is in trading. Before making the initial decision to start trading you need to make a fine judgment on your finance and in your ability to learn, focus, stay conscious and to achieve the "in the zone" effect, which will take some time and some margin calls, but it is a part of the process on your path to long-term success and satisfying profits. 


Natural gas not looking that natural anymore

published 2 years ago
NGAS Daily

 Natural Gas's price is returning again into negative territory as it showed it head little above the upper line of the downtrend which was recently effective (now resuming) as the candle yesterday made a false breakout and it turned to a bearish engulfing one as well. STOCK also is in overbought zone and makes the sell cross. CCI turned bearish as well. An accelerated move down and resumed bearish pressure may send the price towards 2.721 and 2.654 as well. 

Crude a bit in the whipsaw

published 2 years ago
WTI Daily

 Crude's uptrend that has started the summer of 2017 is still actual and teste only once - 18.06.2018, where it failed with a false breakout near 63.72. This gave a huge momentum and demand for the price itself also backed up by fundamentals, sentiment turned to bullish. Price has reached its local maximum at 75.26 and still needs to be tested as well. Currently, the price is starting to stall a bit, slowing down its acceleration and turning into a more sideways movement. This may signal a new test and maybe a possible reversal at 67.19. If Bearish momentum turns actual and bears take over the price will breach the trend and will correct towards 63.72 and will eventually turn into a new bearish trend. 

Yen still inside the uptrend

published 2 years ago

 The Yen continues to go weaker against the USD as the Buck gathers more strength in the past few days. Overall the price is still in an uptrend, as there were several attempts for the price to break out the line of the trend near 110.761 handle, but it failed as it turned out to be more resistant than expected and higher demand emerged for the Buck. USD caught a big bid yesterday, making 88 pips movement. If momentum continues we may see another attempt to test 112 again and beyond. Currently, CCI is reversing to a Bullish territory again and STOCH is making a Bullish cross as well on the oversold territory.